PEEK OF THE WEEK
October 25, 2016
Leif Hagen & Donna Roberts
The Markets
“Verrrry interesting.”
Arte Johnson’s catch phrase from Rowan
& Martin’s Laugh-In may not have described U.S. stock markets last
week, but there were some interesting economic, cyber-security, and consumer
developments around the world.
Major U.S. stock indices finished the week slightly higher. Experts,
cited by Barron’s, suggested markets
seemed tired and were waiting for clarity around the U.S. election outcome,
Federal Reserve rate increase, and corporate quarterly earnings.
Across the pond, opposition from Wallonia (a dairy-producing region of
Belgium) killed trade negotiations between the European Union and Canada. The New York Times suggested the
collapse of trade talks could signal a new chapter in modern history:
“Liberalized trade has amplified economic growth, but the spoils have
been largely monopolized by wealthy and corporate interests. Recriminations
over the resulting economic inequalities are now so ferocious that modern
history has been altered: The phase of globalization that began with the ending
of World War II is essentially over.”
Another modern development – the Internet Everything (think unsecured
DVRs, CCTV cameras, baby monitors, home routers, and other unsecured devices) –
may have helped facilitate a cyber attack on an Internet performance management
company last Friday. The hack disrupted access to some major websites. Financial Times explained cyber
criminals infected the devices without the owners’ knowledge.
Finally, we learned food doesn’t have to be gold-foiled to be
outrageously expensive. AdWeek wrote:
“…To go along with the supposed epicurean majesty of its beverage, St.
Erik's Brewery created a very high-class snack – potato chips featuring rare
Nordic ingredients and sold in a pack of five for a whopping $56.”
The first 100 boxes sold out in a week!
Data as of 10/21/16
|
1-Week
|
Y-T-D
|
1-Year
|
3-Year
|
5-Year
|
10-Year
|
Standard & Poor's 500
(Domestic Stocks)
|
0.4%
|
4.8%
|
6.1%
|
7.1%
|
11.6%
|
4.5%
|
Dow Jones Global ex-U.S.
|
0.8
|
2.7
|
-0.5
|
-3.0
|
2.5
|
-0.5
|
10-year Treasury Note (Yield
Only)
|
1.7
|
NA
|
2.0
|
2.6
|
2.2
|
4.8
|
Gold (per ounce)
|
1.1
|
19.2
|
8.5
|
-1.3
|
-5.1
|
8.1
|
Bloomberg Commodity Index
|
-0.3
|
9.6
|
-2.4
|
-12.4
|
-9.9
|
-6.4
|
DJ Equity All REIT Total
Return Index
|
0.6
|
8.8
|
9.5
|
10.8
|
13.3
|
5.5
|
S&P 500, Dow Jones Global ex-US, Gold, Bloomberg
Commodity Index returns exclude reinvested dividends (gold does not pay a
dividend) and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; the DJ
Equity All REIT Total Return Index does include reinvested dividends and the
three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; and the 10-year Treasury
Note is simply the yield at the close of the day on each of the historical time
periods.
Sources: Yahoo! Finance, Barron’s, djindexes.com,
London Bullion Market Association.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. N/A means not
applicable.
an unusual career opportunity. Do
you have a friend or family member who prioritizes blogging, tweeting, or
posting videos above doing homework, attending family dinners, or going out?
It’s possible they’ve recognized an economic opportunity you haven’t
considered: social media marketing.
Many
social media influencers are celebrities, and they’re paid well for including
brands and products in their posts. A celebrity with 100,000 followers may
receive $2,000 to $12,500 – depending on the social media platform – to mention
a product or service. If they reach one million followers, that amount
increases to $20,000 to $125,000.
Celebrities are not the only
“influencers.” In fact, non-celebrities carry more weight with some consumers.
A survey from CollectiveBias found:
“…30 percent of consumers are more
likely to purchase a product endorsed by a non-celebrity blogger than a
celebrity. Of that number, 70 percent of 18 to 34 year-olds had the highest
preference for “peer” endorsement.”
Clearly, peer endorsements are
valuable, too. Inc. suggested the
going rate for social media influencers is $25 to $75 per thousand followers,
and some people earn much more:
“…It's been reported that beauty
guru [name removed] earns $3 million a year. Comedy duo [name removed] rakes in
$8.5 million annually. And the richest influencer of them all, [name
removed], earns a cool $12 million dollars a year.”
Wielding influence online
remains a relatively new industry and pay often depends on how valuable the
influencer perceives his or her endorsement to be.
Weekly Focus – Think About It
“Success is often achieved by those who don't know that failure is
inevitable.”
--Coco Chanel, Businesswoman and fashion designer
Warm regards from Eagan,
Leif M. Hagen
Leif M. Hagen, CLU, ChFC
LP Financial Advisor
Securities offered through LPL Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC.
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* This newsletter was
prepared by Peak Advisor Alliance. Peak Advisor Alliance is not affiliated with
the named broker/dealer.
* The Standard & Poor's
500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be
representative of the stock
market in general. You cannot invest directly in this index.
* The Standard & Poor’s
500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect
fees,
expenses, or sales charges.
Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment.
* The 10-year Treasury Note
represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the
U.S.
Government is seen as a
risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for
the long-term bond market.
* Gold represents the
afternoon gold price as reported by the London Bullion Market Association.
The gold price is set twice
daily by the London Gold Fixing Company at 10:30 and 15:00 and is expressed in
U.S. dollars per fine troy ounce.
* The Bloomberg Commodity
Index is designed to be a highly liquid and diversified benchmark for the
commodity futures market. The Index is composed of futures contracts on 19
physical commodities and was launched on July 14, 1998.
* The DJ Equity All REIT
Total Return Index measures the total return performance of the equity
subcategory of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry as calculated
by Dow Jones.
* Yahoo! Finance is the
source for any reference to the performance of an index between two specific
periods.
* Opinions expressed are
subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or
to predict future performance.
* Economic forecasts set
forth may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that
strategies promoted will be successful.
* Past performance does not
guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.
* You cannot invest directly
in an index.
* Consult your financial professional
before making any investment decision.
* Stock investing involves
risk including loss of principal.
* To unsubscribe from the
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Sources:
http://www.barrons.com/articles/can-low-rates-keep-lifting-the-stock-market-1468037259?mod=BOL_hp_we_columns (or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/07-11-16_Barrons-Can_Low_Rates_Keep_Lifting_the_Stock_Market-Footnote_1.pdf)
http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-government-bond-yields-rise-on-healthy-jobs-report-1467982581
(or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/07-11-16_WSJ-US_10-Year_Treasury_Yield_Settles_at_Record_Low-Footnote_3.pdf)
http://www.barrons.com/articles/dont-get-too-comfortable-with-stocks-1468037247?mod=BOL_hp_we_columns
(or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/07-11-16_Barrons-Dont_Get_Too_Comfortable_with_Stocks-Footnote_5.pdf)
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/07/daily-chart (or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/07-11-16_TheEconomist-Interest_in_Moving_to_Canada_is_at_an_All-Time_High-Footnote_9.pdf)
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